Exclusive: Sales Estimate and Minimum Guarantee Report

Triple Nine - Big Budget Sales Estimates

Sales Estimates and Minimum Guarantees

The Sales Estimate Report & Workbook includes 726 territorial sales estimates, and 346 minimum guarantees on 19 films with budgets from $2.5 to $65M. The minimum guarantees (totaling $140M) are from 148 distributors, and range from $4K to $5.5M. In addition to full sales estimates for each film title, abundant supplemental information is included –

  • Financial: minimum guarantee amount (territory, distributor), sales estimates, film budget amount, box office receipts.
  • Production: status (e.g., pre-production), locations for principal photography, production company, and sales agency.
  • Film: IMDb StarMeter™ for lead cast members along with their age and gender, Rotten Tomatoes™ rating, opening weekend screens (U.S. & International).

The 120-page All Budgets Sales Estimate Report (Low, Mid, Big) includes financials and findings on 346 licensing agreements made by 148 buyers. The report and workbook includes full sales estimates on 19 films. These estimates include released films, completed, but not yet released, and those in production, pre-production, or arranging financing during Q4 2014.

The 27-sheet MS Excel workbook contains fully-sortable data on all the information covered in the report for personalized valuation and research. As a bonus, we’re including sales estimates and 26 minimum guarantees on an $18M R-rated comedy.


By comparing sales estimates and minimum guarantees from the low and mid budget reports you can begin to develop a clearer picture of floor and ceiling averages across territories and genres for films with budgets from $3-10M, which entails a large portion of independent films. The big budget report is valuable in determining the “top-of-the-market” values for independently-packaged films.

Understanding territorial distribution values will provide producers and financiers alike with tools for assessment and valuation. The keys to standing out in a crowded film marketplace are determining a project’s economic feasibility and creative differentiation.

For sales and distribution professionals, this resource will aid in competitive research and pricing.